Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 90.476259 100.823439 111.381234 122.929583 135.176264 147.748092 161.600719
2025-02-02 76.224321 91.363589 107.456744 125.716670 145.743319 166.930931 190.934036
2025-02-09 65.230728 82.800643 102.073869 124.538464 149.768995 177.016630 208.456411
2025-02-16 56.695207 75.878241 97.527388 123.360768 152.964124 185.480534 223.558218
2025-02-23 50.992996 71.559357 95.356295 124.326013 158.081855 195.672920 240.214601
2025-03-02 45.626489 67.112750 92.586543 124.190798 161.589821 203.761926 254.260927
2025-03-09 41.459106 63.754668 90.792132 124.915990 165.852724 212.519074 268.907386
2025-03-16 36.849118 59.453982 87.532430 123.603842 167.481306 218.046076 279.691821
2025-03-23 34.166407 57.431088 86.916797 125.349620 172.623404 227.572684 295.032849
2025-03-30 31.912968 55.795199 86.645345 127.400199 178.041635 237.362705 310.644415
2025-04-06 28.734058 52.648455 84.237608 126.616250 179.881938 242.817564 321.100157
2025-04-13 25.168054 48.677464 80.526633 123.986360 179.293094 245.245805 327.879526
2025-04-20 24.273713 48.550242 81.950103 127.990842 187.011677 257.772219 346.802388
2025-04-27 23.024018 47.800964 82.471141 130.788965 193.212889 268.479177 363.596430
2025-05-04 20.563217 45.011723 80.039485 129.590822 194.282820 272.875732 372.777288
2025-05-11 18.327609 42.385038 77.690958 128.382989 195.245659 277.071278 381.664234
2025-05-18 16.933653 41.002147 77.027451 129.372055 198.975776 284.644193 394.625010
2025-05-25 15.341855 39.152879 75.590951 129.233505 201.192789 290.306600 405.241726
2025-06-01 14.113381 37.820176 74.838592 129.976408 204.516224 297.322361 417.501402
2025-06-08 12.471326 35.598081 72.645948 128.632193 205.037626 300.785972 425.374848
2025-06-15 11.695493 34.892644 72.711147 130.420604 209.673083 309.414184 439.608702
2025-06-22 11.042982 34.363003 73.012357 132.520961 214.713350 318.555785 454.490685
2025-06-29 9.825440 32.612295 71.322804 131.718020 215.833012 322.700796 463.170157